Scarce-Anticipation
0xe842459638f9b85b5d9b128b089c9ccafd5127d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.9K
Realised
$-103.26
Win rate
73%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
28176 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-86.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
27111 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-168.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
27106 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-120.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
26500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-260.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
26357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-374.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
25779 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-747.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
25368 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-144.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
25328 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-360.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
25317 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-134.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
25304 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-367.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.49May 15, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$55.56May 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.02May 10, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.01May 10, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$4.00May 8, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$10.25May 8, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.03Apr 11, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.20Apr 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.22Apr 11, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.03Apr 11, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.46Apr 11, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.53Apr 11, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$3.38Apr 10, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.01Apr 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.01Apr 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.20Apr 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.06Apr 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.33Apr 10, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.06Apr 10, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.50Apr 10, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".