Grouchy-Perspective
0xe84d462a9b40b952e855d0ff8e10bd1e29e546e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$231.23
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$117.65
$17.65
- NO
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$60.24
$10.24
- NO
Will Trump get 86m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
53 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$53.34
$3.34
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
853 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
781 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
627 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
597 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
498 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-204.56
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
446 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-305.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$54.56Nov 4, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Texas by 10+ points?$50.00Nov 4, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$50.00Nov 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? $100.00Nov 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $100.00Nov 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 86m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? $100.00Nov 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more? $50.00Nov 4, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$100.00Nov 4, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$50.00Nov 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$150.00Nov 4, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? $45.00Nov 4, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$50.00Nov 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$50.00Nov 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $250.00Nov 4, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$100.00Nov 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$9.94Oct 16, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$9.94Oct 16, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $67.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".