Subtle-Transaction
0xe8557aa3d1d54555e50e5c53d4a9ad0c1c6d4de3
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$188.64
Total PnL
$-239.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 26?
95 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$95.46
$1.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?
93 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$93.18
$2.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
130 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-67.99
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
101 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-91.91
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
88 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-82.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 26?$94.41Mar 26, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?$91.12Mar 26, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$59.70Mar 26, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 15?$60.00Mar 25, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 15?$65.83Mar 25, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 15?$65.57Mar 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 15?$59.82Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in February?$50.00Mar 13, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 24?$70.00Mar 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$58.08Feb 24, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in February?$49.75Feb 24, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 24?$64.68Feb 24, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?$86.84Feb 24, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?$83.00Feb 24, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?$81.26Feb 20, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$89.31Feb 20, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?$79.21Jan 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBills vs. Broncos$79.21Jan 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Broncos$79.21Jan 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$79.21Jan 17, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $84.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 15:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".