Determined-Factor
0xe8576af57c5a37b674e92d3da8a526cc00747d3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$18.07
Total PnL
$0.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?
4 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.10
$0.10
- YES
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$4.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump resign before 2027?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
2 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.71
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.60Nov 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign before 2027?$4.00Nov 10, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?$4.00Nov 10, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?$4.00Nov 10, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$4.00Nov 10, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$3.04Nov 10, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.34Nov 10, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.44Nov 10, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$3.82Nov 10, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$3.72Oct 22, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$3.00Oct 22, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Oct 22, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Oct 22, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLOdell Beckham Jr. in jail in 2025?$1.67Oct 22, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$2.39Oct 22, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US military action against Iran before August?$2.20Oct 22, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?$3.19Oct 22, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy convicted of a felony?$3.37Oct 22, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy guilty of all charges?$3.85Oct 22, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before August?$2.00Jun 29, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".