Bland-Grandparent
0xe85aaa26a3252748af9b6d2d7c3bd64e60b782b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$118.13
Total PnL
$-77.58
Realised
$0.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
53 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$52.63
$12.63
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$25.21
$5.29
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?
19 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.00
$1.33
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$1.20
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$-1.35
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
89 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.33
$-4.89
- YES
Will Chip Roy be the Republican nominee for TX-21?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Detroit have a white Christmas?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Robert Lowry be the Republican nominee for TX-21?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?$1.90Feb 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?$1.00Jan 9, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?$1.00Dec 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 28?$49.85Nov 27, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by 2025?$48.30Nov 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit have a white Christmas?$7.00Nov 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lowry be the Republican nominee for TX-21?$6.00Nov 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chip Roy be the Republican nominee for TX-21?$3.10Nov 26, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chip Roy be the Republican nominee for TX-21?$3.90Nov 26, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?$6.42Nov 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chicago have a white Christmas?$0.64Nov 24, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$11.00Nov 24, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill St. Louis have a white Christmas?$1.80Nov 24, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chicago have a white Christmas?$0.70Nov 24, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?$10.67Nov 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition$8.80Nov 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?$1.00Nov 22, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?$1.60Nov 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?$9.20Nov 19, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?$27.90Nov 13, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 11:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".