Near-Adviser-Ruin
0xe861d2193f9458fb765c335dc7c77fdd8bf9461e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.02
Total PnL
$-6.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$6.21
$1.21
- YES
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
350 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.94
$-4.06
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 32.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.89
$1.89
- YES
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
334 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.68
$-8.32
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.45
$1.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.10
$1.10
- YES
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.59May 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$1.05May 15, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.17May 14, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.12May 14, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.85May 14, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.03May 14, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00May 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.24May 14, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$9.51May 14, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.21May 14, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$7.09May 14, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.13May 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05May 14, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$10.49May 14, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.13May 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$10.48May 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.00May 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$1.05May 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.06May 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.10May 14, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".