Rectangular-Unit
0xe8642f707049dba887caa56ceee5924c9d7be9e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-170.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.8% in February?$170.56Mar 10, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Milady" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$170.62Mar 8, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Milady" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$168.57Mar 6, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?$168.00Mar 6, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?$152.88Mar 4, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Conclave" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?$153.45Mar 3, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?$144.24Mar 1, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMYe banned on X in February?$144.24Mar 1, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYYe banned on X in February?$133.71Feb 23, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye tweet 50-99 times February 20-28?$133.71Feb 23, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye tweet 50-99 times February 20-28?$133.08Feb 22, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?$133.08Feb 22, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?$131.87Feb 21, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$4.76Feb 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$28.89Feb 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$98.23Feb 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$134.21Feb 21, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$134.20Feb 21, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$111.39Feb 15, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?$111.39Feb 15, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $111.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.