Fatal-Popularity
0xe8684df90619112d4b14ffacdb963670321d885b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.20
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$8.20
$3.44
- OVER
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
879 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-430.71
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
834 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-400.32
- UNDER
Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5
529 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-253.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5$4.58Jul 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5$0.17Jul 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5$78.24Feb 26, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5$175.68Feb 26, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)$3.1KJan 28, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5$3.6KJan 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5$436.80Jan 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5$1.3KJan 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5$430.71Jan 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)$400.32Jan 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)$1.7KJan 27, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $504.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.