Frail-Beggar
0xe869026ce722f52604b8f9898bf5a1e19278a6ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.85
Total PnL
$-9.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$3.85
$1.85
- YES
Will Matteo Jorgenson win the Tour de France 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2025?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
7 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$1.89Aug 7, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$1.00Aug 7, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$2.00Aug 7, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Aug 7, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?$3.13Aug 7, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$0.00Jul 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matteo Jorgenson win the Tour de France 2025?$1.00Jun 25, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2025?$3.00Jun 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$2.58Jun 25, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$0.00Jun 13, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$0.00Jun 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$6.53May 19, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$1.00May 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$1.00May 16, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.12May 14, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$2.00May 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$1.00May 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00May 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$2.00May 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?$10.26May 14, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".