Carefree-Disclaimer
0xe86c5954b48de73d161441315c2996f1bee8bc7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$26.19
Total PnL
$-17.89
Realised
$-16.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
21 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$20.95
$0.29
- NO
Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.02
$0.01
- YES
Election certified on January 6?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
7 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$1.00Jan 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYElection certified on January 6?$1.00Jan 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$1.00Jan 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$1.00Jan 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$1.00Jan 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$4.8KJan 1, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$2.9KJan 1, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$492.50Jan 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$5.9KJan 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$2.3KJan 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$7.9KJan 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$4.0KJan 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$620.36Jan 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$1.4KJan 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$2.0KJan 1, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".