Neglected-Dissonance
0xe86d193196765005567bddfab6d0b08b234cbee9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$106.39
Total PnL
$-161.02
Realised
$-2.87
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
135 shares @ 10.8¢·now 10.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$14.04
$-0.61
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
186 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$13.95
$-0.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
150 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$12.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
165 shares @ 8.9¢·now 6.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$10.89
$-3.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?
26 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$7.02
$1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8?
93 shares @ 6.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$6.46
$0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 8?
76 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$6.46
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 8?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$6.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?
200 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$5.70
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 8?
150 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$5.17
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 8?$0.93Jun 8, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 8?$3.00Jun 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 8?$0.30Jun 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 8?$0.70Jun 8, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 8?$0.90Jun 8, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 8?$2.00Jun 8, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 8?$1.62Jun 8, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$2.00Jun 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$0.22Jun 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 8?$1.39Jun 8, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$0.22Jun 8, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$0.33Jun 8, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$0.24Jun 8, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$0.57Jun 8, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$0.15Jun 8, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8?$3.00Jun 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 8?$1.54Jun 8, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 8?$0.40Jun 8, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?$0.51Jun 8, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 8?$3.00Jun 8, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.