Wavy-Democracy
0xe878b0cf878763cf2b69f050841a44d953d51f00
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-126.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
154 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
61 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Warriors
51 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$33.00Oct 25, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Warriors$25.00Oct 24, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$19.36Oct 24, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMPackers vs. Cowboys$9.62Oct 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Sep 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Sep 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Sep 26, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Cowboys$5.00Sep 26, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$14.93Sep 26, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seth Rogan win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series?$21.74Sep 26, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gillis say "Epstein" during the opening monologue at the ESPYs?$11.54Sep 3, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.00Jul 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$6.00Jul 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$4.00Jul 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$10.00Jul 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hacks win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$5.00Jul 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$5.00Jul 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gillis say "Epstein" during the opening monologue at the ESPYs?$3.00Jul 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?$10.00Jul 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seth Rogan win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series?$10.00Jul 16, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $13.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 17:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.