Impartial-Relative
0xe88603be7eb91deaa07aa2c1650b7b01b9f38e76
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$29.05
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$27.80Jan 15, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$1.23Jan 13, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$1.20Jan 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$2.15Jan 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$2.15Jan 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$1.02Jan 3, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$1.12Jan 3, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$1.11Dec 31, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLVolodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31?$1.04Dec 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026?$1.22Dec 25, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.29Dec 23, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 43.5 and 43.9 on December 19, 2025?$1.05Dec 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$1.02Dec 19, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$0.04Dec 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 43.5 and 43.9 on December 19, 2025?$1.04Dec 16, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.25Dec 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$1.42Dec 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.27Dec 5, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$15.32Dec 5, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYVolodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31?$1.04Dec 4, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.