Better-Woodchuck-Habit
0xe889a10bba256d5e8acd202b8698777bd9830d93
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$5.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?
200 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$199.70
$0.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?
200 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$196.69
$4.90
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 14?
32 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$31.98
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 13?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?
30 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 13?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 13?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?
30 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$15.89Jul 14, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$10.89Jul 14, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.97Jul 14, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$100.00Jul 14, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$45.39Jul 14, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$99.07Jul 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$4.95Jul 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$34.07Jul 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.94Jul 14, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$100.00Jul 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$100.00Jul 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$99.07Jul 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$99.00Jul 14, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 13, 10PM ET$123.77Jul 14, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$100.00Jul 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 10PM ET$123.14Jul 14, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $64.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 01:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.