0xe8936ff8a5f90dd213d22680f90a85e91d7bf215
0xe8936ff8a5f90dd213d22680f90a85e91d7bf215
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.1K
Realised
$7.8K
Win rate
71%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
109627 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-225.28
- YES
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?
93763 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2025$0.00
$-7.5K
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
79166 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-352.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 7?
58263 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-60.94
- NO
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
38803 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
35792 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-131.64
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?
34961 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-725.51
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?
34044 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-745.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?
30293 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-106.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21?
29183 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-212.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$0.58Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?$0.99Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on May 27?$2.07Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMAldo vs. Zahabi$2.34Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on June 6?$4.64Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?$5.00Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley$5.00Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on June 15?$6.00Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMDvalishvili vs. O'Malley$18.55Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMClarity Act signed into law in 2025?$20.00Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?$25.85Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$10.00Nov 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$137.20Nov 9, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 1550 and 1599 measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?$0.77Sep 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$1.26Sep 12, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$0.84Sep 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$123.90Sep 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$126.00Sep 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$75.00Sep 11, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $40.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".