Lumpy-Diner
0xe8a08ce8728902041a6f707c2ea97d7e85973aea
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-247.02
Realised
$-15.66
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- DOWN
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 1?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?
230 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-21.30
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 23?
185 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.45
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
167 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 13?
130 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?
120 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?
105 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.05
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?
83 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.46
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13?
80 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 13?$0.05Jul 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?$1.04Jul 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?$0.59Jul 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?$0.56Jul 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 13?$5.40Jul 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 13?$0.60Jul 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?$1.05Jul 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?$1.60Jul 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 13?$6.50Jul 13, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 13?$1.00Jul 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13?$7.05Jul 13, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13?$0.15Jul 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 13?$1.60Jul 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 13?$2.70Jul 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on July 10?$0.38Jul 10, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 10?$0.34Jul 10, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 10?$2.41Jul 10, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta (META) Up or Down on July 10?$0.24Jul 10, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 10?$1.02Jul 10, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 10?$1.00Jul 10, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.