Orange-Barometer
0xe8a10c725679233f9b36087d57840abc71252b76
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
1910 shares @ 81.9¢·now 72.4¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.4K
$-182.40
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
166000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$913.00
$-83.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.00
$45.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
600 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?
2180 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
1000 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-118.22
- YES
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-22?
1000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-340.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- OVER
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
1000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-489.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$54.68Jun 4, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$57.33Jun 4, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$38.96Jun 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$98.28Jun 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$16.06Jun 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$18.42Jun 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$9.19Jun 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$655.20Jun 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$580.28Jun 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$11.31Jun 4, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$24.57Jun 4, 19:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$1.1KJun 2, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$757.65Jun 1, 17:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $93.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".