Deep-Battery
0xe8a188a1fa2abd27e1b4557c0824c8c29df71d37
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-678.76
Win rate
11%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 9?
1864 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-72.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?
1343 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-21.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on April 10?
1188 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on April 10?
1108 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 15?
1082 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on April 19?
1033 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 19?
900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on April 10?
858 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on March 22?
805 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?$9.05Jul 21, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.18Jul 21, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.11Jul 21, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.25Jul 21, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.40Jul 21, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$4.48Jul 21, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?$3.63Jul 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$2.86Jul 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.34Jul 21, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$1.05Jul 21, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?$2.48Jul 21, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$1.53Jul 21, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$3.15Jul 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$4.98Jul 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$3.52Jul 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?$12.31Jul 21, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?$1.75Jul 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$14.00Jul 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$14.52Jul 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?$2.66Jul 21, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.