Determined-Mayonnaise
0xe8a2057abd53d285f7bea590b8f1dff1f04454c2
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-622.03
Realised
$-12.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1500 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$22.50
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$895.00
$5.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
689 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$547.37
$3.44
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1556 shares @ 33.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$521.22
$-5.72
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
1584 shares @ 35.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$419.85
$-146.48
- YES
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
12988 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$277.94
$219.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2463 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$246.31
$0.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5777 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$245.52
$13.56
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1006 shares @ 23.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$236.43
$-0.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$95.00
$5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$79.003h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$464.923h ago
- TRADESELLOver $15M committed to the Printr public sale?$26.314h ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$62.265h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$890.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$90.005h ago
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$67.515h ago
- MERGENothing Ever Happens: May$62.665h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$2.485h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$6.755h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$4.256h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$38.366h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$180.007h ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$107.837h ago
- MERGENothing Ever Happens: May$73.007h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$27.067h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$5.207h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$5.207h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$5.207h ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$5.207h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $133.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".