Shadowy-Crumb
0xe8a579f42db324187bd83ac05aa63d4d7f4490d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$90.93
Total PnL
$-171.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$36.14
$6.14
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
32 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.47
$2.47
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
22 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.32
$2.32
- YES
Will India win?
87 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
47 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
40 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- ALABAMA
Oklahoma vs. Alabama
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?
26 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NUGGETS
Bulls vs. Nuggets
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$22.47Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$31.25Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMZelensky resigns in 2025?$42.19Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$42.55Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$42.55Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$52.63Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$71.43Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$20.00Dec 1, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$20.00Dec 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?$21.12Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Beast in Me" be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 25 2025)$32.61Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?$36.14Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?$44.20Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by November 30?$53.51Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$53.74Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of November?$53.76Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$61.45Dec 1, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$25.64Nov 22, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$20.65Nov 21, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$6.05Nov 21, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $20.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.