Silly-Crowd
0xe8aa45d7d53aecf041f15a0cb073575be25ab8b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-613.46
Realised
$3.63
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
24717 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.52
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
13000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-28.99
- YES
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?
10572 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
938 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-182.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.91Jul 20, 01:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.48Jul 10, 20:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.