Self-Reliant-Eyestrain
0xe8ac2ec437c191a91543da097b69f37e41c97b93
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.21
Total PnL
$-204.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.21
$-0.02
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
4500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-48.17
- NO
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
2600 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-47.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET
1991 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-31.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET
1700 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET
600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$1.23Jul 28, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.33Jul 8, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jul 6, 16:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.83Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 28?$1.12Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?$1.33Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$2.34Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.46Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.30Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.28Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.05Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.15Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.01Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.05Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.15Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.31Jun 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.68Jun 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.30Jun 14, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$17.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 13, 01:31 UTC → Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.7K@100¢Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$8.7K · 50% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.