Mad-Play
0xe8ae62a308a54715508440cf8eb5b4724b3fb15b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.33
Total PnL
$-7.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.03
$0.03
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26?
4 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will India win?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$2.09Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$2.00Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$2.00Jun 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.00Jun 4, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?$2.01Jun 2, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.22Jun 2, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Jun 2, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?$2.04May 28, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?$2.11May 28, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?$2.00May 28, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?$2.00May 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?$2.00May 18, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.01May 14, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.01May 12, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.00May 7, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.07May 4, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$9.24May 4, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?$1.00May 4, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.05Apr 30, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.