Chubby-Goddess
0xe8b817236c60ce93747cde8d87094730f74e4a65
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$1.49
Win rate
9%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1818 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
696 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
570 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
567 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
433 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
392 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-165.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
315 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $130?$0.06Aug 7, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on August 6?$2.38Aug 6, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on August 6?$2.01Aug 5, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $130?$1.03Aug 5, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$10.25Jul 14, 11:28 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$17.18Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.93Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$10.05Jul 4, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$10.29Jul 4, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$22.98Jul 4, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$10.49Jul 4, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$10.34Jul 4, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$105.87Jul 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$103.80Jul 4, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$105.69Jul 4, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$103.43Jul 4, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$57.45Jul 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$90.07Jul 4, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.35Jul 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$4.75Jul 4, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
43 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $51.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.