Actual-Bond
0xe8bad463ffd72c01b3c9bd0960711da9cd836724
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.71
Total PnL
$-29.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before July?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.71
$3.71
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will 10% or more CIA personnel accept buyout offer before March?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
18 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?
12 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
8 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- ALLEN
Allen vs. Hernandez
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAllen vs. Hernandez$2.00Feb 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before July?$2.00Feb 17, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMSuper Bowl LIX Winner$0.00Feb 17, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuper Bowl LIX Winner$10.00Feb 10, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?$1.00Feb 6, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Captain America' Opening Weekend Box Office be >$100m?$2.00Feb 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$4.00Feb 6, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.00Feb 6, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10% or more CIA personnel accept buyout offer before March?$5.00Feb 6, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?$2.50Feb 6, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?$0.00Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?$0.00Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $0.00Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?$0.00Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$0.00Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in February?$0.00Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?$11.76Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$22.22Feb 6, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?$4.07Jan 11, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$8.49Jan 11, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".