0xe8c155e659cc2c41e95b17d4d06f61997c64cefe
0xe8c155e659cc2c41e95b17d4d06f61997c64cefe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$686.55
Realised
$302.32
Win rate
94%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
1049 shares @ 26.7¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$398.56
$119.01
- NO
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?
472 shares @ 34.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$285.39
$121.02
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 71.7¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$283.99
$-2.83
- NO
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
503 shares @ 40.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$263.82
$60.91
- YES
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?
287 shares @ 75.8¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$205.55
$-12.27
- YES
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?
289 shares @ 56.6¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$202.10
$38.74
- YES
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2027?
231 shares @ 77.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$175.46
$-3.63
- NO
Will Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2027?
201 shares @ 36.4¢·now 74.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2027$148.73
$75.55
- NO
Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 87.8¢·now 85.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$121.34
$-4.08
- NO
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027?
164 shares @ 52.4¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$113.69
$27.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?$13.20Jul 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?$77.31Jul 9, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?$4.06Jul 9, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?$61.60Jul 9, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?$17.94Jul 9, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?$42.37Jul 9, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?$41.40Jul 9, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027?$20.71Jul 9, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027?$23.79Jul 9, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2027?$50.23Jul 9, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?$41.40Jul 9, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027?$13.00Jul 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?$31.76Jul 9, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027?$8.34Jul 9, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?$17.00Jul 9, 04:55 UTC
- REWARD$19.97Jul 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?$31.87Jul 8, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?$11.15Jul 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?$8.71Jul 8, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $40M one day after launch?$3.80Jul 8, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $32.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.