Ornery-Bondsman
0xe8c5827d987d9bf9e04102a2b84c7de426817a13
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$132.99
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
2077 shares @ 91.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.0K
$110.95
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1351 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$993.24
$-6.76
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2679 shares @ 36.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$897.42
$-81.58
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
714 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$695.69
$1.79
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
621 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$620.69
$217.14
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
300 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$253.49
$16.50
- NO
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?
58 shares @ 86.2¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$47.47
$-2.52
- YES
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?
11 shares @ 47.8¢·now 54.7¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$6.18
$0.78
- YES
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
10932 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?
9598 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?$5.49Jun 4, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$208.91Jun 4, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$11.48Jun 4, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$47.04Jun 4, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$9.52Jun 4, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$9.65Jun 4, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1000.00Jun 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$2.40Jun 4, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$28.00Jun 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$24.90Jun 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$13.23Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$5.13Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$21.00Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$2.80Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$4.06Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$19.60Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$14.00Jun 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$2.80Jun 4, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$109.74Jun 4, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$64.10Jun 4, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $93.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".