Honorable-Jeweller
0xe8c946980a17ef265adb4905cd0e14a1428c4c12
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$223.00
Total PnL
$0.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?$131.75Jun 28, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$132.00Jun 28, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$131.87Jun 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$30.82Jun 20, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$59.65Jun 17, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$130.00May 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$129.88May 15, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$130.00May 15, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$88.00May 7, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$129.88May 7, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$2.09Apr 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$8.79Apr 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$16.21Apr 29, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$21.71Apr 29, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$6.20Apr 29, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$5.12Apr 29, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$6.56Apr 29, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$21.22Apr 29, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 31?$96.00Apr 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 31?$95.90Mar 31, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $60.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.