Insubstantial-Adrenalin
0xe8cc11e0a10cd5a13fa12ba7c9b8ee9de16be8c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-481.95
Realised
$1.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
649 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
456 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-286.00
- YES
Will Faya Lansana Millimono win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?
269 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elhadj Bouna Keita win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?
146 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?
99 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
85 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Abdoulaye Yéro Baldé win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?
80 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
HasanAbi banned from Twitch by October 31?
58 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- ALMAKHAN
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMen's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia$425.53Feb 15, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia$100.00Feb 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia$100.00Feb 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group C - USA vs. Denmark$99.94Feb 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group C - USA vs. Denmark$101.00Feb 14, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$101.94Feb 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$12.28Feb 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$11.79Feb 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$78.00Feb 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$7.00Feb 14, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$24.00Feb 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland$1.06Feb 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland$5.00Feb 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland$100.00Feb 13, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.00Jan 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.00Jan 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$23.74Jan 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$23.00Jan 2, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.13Dec 31, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$22.83Dec 26, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $46.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".