Sinful-Disruption
0xe8cef5340fc4787b89ac1b390f8818737cc12232
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$561.97
Total PnL
$-100.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 28?
217 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$217.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 29?
150 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$150.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 29?
150 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$150.07
$0.07
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
19 shares @ 95.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.50
$-0.31
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 60.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.37
$-1.63
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.58
$-3.42
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.10
$-3.90
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?
161 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 28?$217.02May 27, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 29?$150.01May 27, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 29?$150.01May 27, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?$16.02May 27, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$501.00May 27, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?$16.00May 26, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$500.07May 26, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$514.51May 26, 00:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.32May 23, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$514.04May 22, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?$96.42May 22, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 20?$100.10May 22, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$100.10May 22, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?$200.20May 22, 00:43 UTC
- REWARD$17.29May 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?$96.03May 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?$200.01May 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$100.01May 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 20?$100.01May 21, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?$100.10May 21, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $242.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".