Focused-Premise
0xe8de815741c094de9d910697590173449914cdc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-298.58
Realised
$-3.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on February 17?
140 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 13?
138 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-85.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14?
70 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 17?
70 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 18?
57 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?
53 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
53 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 14?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.00May 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.16May 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.22May 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.11May 5, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.59Mar 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$1.33Mar 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.47Mar 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.90Mar 15, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$1.80Mar 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$5.00Mar 10, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?$19.99Feb 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?$7.70Feb 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?$7.69Feb 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 18?$4.54Feb 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on February 17?$2.30Feb 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 17?$2.10Feb 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 17?$5.78Feb 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 17?$2.05Feb 17, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".