Fickle-Scrambled
0xe8e0111e66510178b7895490e93393c052d89f03
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$116.87
Total PnL
$-0.69
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
32 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.38
$-0.02
- NO
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?
29 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.00
$0.26
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
24 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.21
$-0.36
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?
20 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.28
$0.22
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.00
$0.06
- YES
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by more than 50%?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?$19.06Mar 7, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping divorce before 2027?$31.39Feb 7, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $4B one day after launch?$28.74Feb 6, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?$14.94Feb 6, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$22.57Feb 6, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$13.00Feb 6, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$22.00Feb 6, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$23.00Feb 6, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$23.00Feb 6, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$25.00Feb 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by more than 50%?$0.02Oct 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by more than 50%?$0.12Oct 9, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$12.82Oct 2, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$24.77Oct 2, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by more than 50%?$0.41Oct 2, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by more than 50%?$0.59Oct 2, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$22.75Oct 2, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$21.96Oct 2, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$22.98Oct 2, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMBase airdrop in Q1 2025?$12.15Oct 2, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $13.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.