Watery-Pony
0xe8e7f2eb64a5240fc80462fa802abff42b8710c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-124.59
Realised
$-12.33
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
692 shares @ 89.4¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$582.77
$-35.82
- NO
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
319 shares @ 86.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$263.25
$-11.60
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$177.00
$-3.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$125.01
$-17.00
- NO
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
108 shares @ 91.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$82.31
$-16.25
- NO
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
61 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$58.36
$0.73
- NO
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.99
$-25.01
- NO
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
23 shares @ 46.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.13
$-4.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.51May 15, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$17.13May 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$94.57May 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Spurs$25.32May 7, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Knicks$3.98May 7, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Knicks$21.26May 6, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$44.00May 6, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$100.00May 6, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$86.36May 5, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Spurs$58.00May 5, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$22.00May 5, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$57.89May 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRaptors vs. Cavaliers$3.78May 4, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$33.66May 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$67.33May 4, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Celtics$122.59May 3, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$56.00May 3, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$59.73May 3, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$0.00Apr 28, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Timberwolves$14.79Apr 26, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".