Untrue-Institution
0xe8f2f3c1fdfa0c99a3db6e44b6c412becd9396d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-820.26
Realised
$-11.04
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
571 shares @ 84.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$570.49
$87.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?
225 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$225.17
$27.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?
230 shares @ 89.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$180.82
$-24.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on May 30?
170 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$169.48
$18.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 30?
160 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$159.62
$15.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?
114 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$113.53
$19.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 30?
99 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$99.23
$9.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 30?
89 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$88.73
$8.44
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 29?
87 shares @ 85.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$87.10
$12.47
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 30?
59 shares @ 84.6¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$31.50
$-18.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 30?$31.22May 30, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?$85.03May 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 30?$19.43May 30, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?$203.90May 30, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?$262.19May 30, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 29?$77.94May 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$9.50May 30, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$283.51May 30, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$5.88May 30, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$187.49May 30, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$401.85May 30, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$13.20May 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$17.60May 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$22.00May 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$120.38May 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$111.98May 30, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?$135.83May 30, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?$26.40May 30, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?$28.67May 30, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?$7.54May 30, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $59.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".