Impure-Octagon
0xe8f3f8c66adaf9441bf4d882ecde58c16f760f9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$15.75
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3500 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.75
$-479.23
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
21698 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
9400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-380.37
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
9200 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-387.99
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
7600 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
7001 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-370.93
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
6800 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-252.31
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
4591 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?
3866 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-104.16
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3454 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-384.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$133.97Jun 7, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$3.25Jun 3, 16:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.31Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$83.20May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$0.95May 31, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$105.09May 31, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$6.96May 31, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$0.03May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$4.60May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$7.00May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$40.90May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$3.15May 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$5.60May 29, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$36.72May 29, 18:01 UTC
- REWARD$12.61May 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.4KMay 24, 11:29 UTC
- REWARD$3.00May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$468.00May 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$82.95May 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.62May 19, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $53.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.