Jumpy-Minibus
0xe8f6bc8f55e10d5d812c28a5d49571f78cca09f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.59
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?$1.08Apr 3, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 March 30-April 5?$1.49Apr 1, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?$1.62Mar 4, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$1.78Mar 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$1.78Feb 24, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?$1.62Feb 21, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?$1.06Feb 21, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,700 January 19-25?$1.62Feb 21, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?$1.06Jan 23, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,700 January 19-25?$1.62Jan 21, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?$1.05Jan 21, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.13Jan 21, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$1.18Jan 21, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$1.18Dec 31, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.13Dec 30, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 323: Blachowicz vs. Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.99Dec 30, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$4.33Dec 30, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?$1.05Dec 30, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Blachowicz vs. Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$2.03Dec 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$2.21Dec 5, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.