Shameless-Newsletter
0xe8f9249f72ed1b9a749d5f193e2dc0a54dc0e537
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$5.27
Total PnL
$-931.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will Raymond Petersen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- YES
Will Jorge Pinto win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
16650 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.65
- YES
Will Mintsuku win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
5800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.88 on September 3 at 4PM ET?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on September 3 at 4PM ET?
3048 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.07May 23, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raymond Petersen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$2.10May 21, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$1.02May 21, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.05May 21, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$1.11May 21, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in April?$1.32May 21, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.34May 21, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.00May 21, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$11.04May 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.10May 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$1.10Apr 30, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 19?$1.00Apr 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$1.00Apr 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.33Apr 27, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.00Apr 26, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.00Apr 25, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in April?$1.32Apr 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$11.00Apr 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 19?$1.00Apr 19, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$2.03Apr 19, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".