Authorized-Lament
0xe8fbca265d9add4c331dfc1420dbc5913c756047
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-31.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.96
$-0.01
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July?
12912 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 460 and 479 times September 5–12?
9150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-9.15
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 21 and July 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DIY hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.97May 8, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00May 8, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 460 and 479 times September 5–12?$9.15Sep 12, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July?$15.00Jul 31, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 21 and July 27?$1.00Jul 3, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$1.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMSam Altman arrested before July?$1.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$1.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMCubs vs. Astros$1.92Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$3.00Jun 27, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?$2.00Jun 27, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DIY hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.00Jun 27, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$1.00Jun 27, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman arrested before July?$1.00Jun 27, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".