Thankful-Certificate
0xe907e229a93738879a4db78d379bd06da14bc114
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-147.79
Realised
$554.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
2893 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?
864 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-112.37
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
806 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?
721 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-146.30
- YES
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
583 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-109.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
361 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-84.52
- NO
Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?
331 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
291 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Harris win Maine by 5+ points?$0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more? $0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?$0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more? $0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?$0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?$0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.00Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?$217.15Nov 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more? $7.71Nov 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$25.00Nov 10, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$25.00Nov 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$25.00Nov 10, 01:56 UTC
- REWARD$0.82Nov 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?$602.68Nov 7, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?$0.00Nov 7, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?$20.00Nov 7, 01:49 UTC
- REWARD$0.35Nov 7, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $331.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.