0xe9152a7a6137a2960ddb22040b9354cef3a0e5d1
0xe9152a7a6137a2960ddb22040b9354cef3a0e5d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$16.82
Total PnL
$-3.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.53
$0.53
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of August 10 2026?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.23
$0.23
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
4 shares @ 45.5¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.74
$-1.26
- NO
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.26
$-1.74
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.10
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$0.00Aug 11, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$0.00Aug 11, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$0.00Aug 11, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 11, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of August 10 2026?$2.03Aug 10, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?$2.03Aug 9, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$2.04Aug 9, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 9, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$2.05Aug 8, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$2.00Aug 8, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$2.99Aug 8, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026?$4.88Aug 8, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$9.52Aug 8, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?$0.00Aug 7, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.07Aug 7, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?$0.00Aug 6, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?$2.05Aug 6, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?$2.03Aug 6, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?$5.13Aug 6, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.