Disastrous-Victim
0xe91659b0a59e6b093a0abf7fa724c278e2aac285
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-368.87
Realised
$37.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET
712 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3PM ET
666 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1AM ET
572 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6PM ET
495 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4PM ET
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on June 28 at 5PM ET?
61 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-8.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4PM ET
9 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4PM ET$4.50Jul 1, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET$35.00Jul 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET$15.00Jul 1, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET$50.00Jul 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on June 28 at 5PM ET?$8.60Jun 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1AM ET$160.00Jun 24, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ET$0.01Jun 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5PM ET$167.95Jun 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5PM ET$130.00Jun 23, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ET$425.00Jun 23, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ET$392.85Jun 23, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ET$250.00Jun 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET$278.86Jun 23, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET$150.00Jun 23, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET$109.09Jun 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET$100.00Jun 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ET$30.00Jun 23, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ET$70.00Jun 23, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1PM ET$3.79Jun 23, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $86.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.