0xe91d1d274cec999f132cdd0a2e606df6ddfa72e7
0xe91d1d274cec999f132cdd0a2e606df6ddfa72e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
390 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Massachusetts Presidential Election?
251 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will Christian McCaffrey play Week 6?
113 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2024$0.00
$-0.34
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?
68 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
61 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.18Oct 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?$0.20Oct 5, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.17Oct 5, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Massachusetts Presidential Election?$0.75Oct 5, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian McCaffrey play Week 6?$0.34Oct 5, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $0.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.