Disastrous-Excess
0xe92c4dd69dfd711de025f4fcdd54b32772013f0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$189.47
Total PnL
$-144.23
Realised
$2.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
189 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$189.47
$81.47
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022?
50 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2022$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
37 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran military response before October?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
33 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2022$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30?
27 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2022$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score?
23 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2022$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2022$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$100.00Nov 19, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022?$1.00Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?$2.13Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?$2.49Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?$2.73Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMProp 27: Will California legalize online sports betting?$4.02Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NATO expand in 2022?$4.10Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEM538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?$4.45Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albert Pujols get 700 home runs by the end of the 2022 MLB regular season?$4.96Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD be worth more than EUR on October 14?$4.99Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?$5.06Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31?$5.99Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend?$6.11Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election?$6.75Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022?$7.12Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?$7.77Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?$7.88Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$8.21Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15?$9.18Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge?$9.97Nov 19, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $21.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".