Satisfied-Incompetence
0xe92ecca362080c947881075a17a474ba35d91d02
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?
1880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- VIEIRA
Harrison vs. Vieira
2 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- ROUNTREE JR.
Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
2 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$109.91Apr 18, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$110.14Apr 18, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?$1.00Apr 2, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?$1.00Feb 5, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%? $1.88Nov 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.01Nov 7, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarrison vs. Vieira$0.30Oct 5, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPereira vs. Rountree Jr.$0.50Oct 5, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?$1.00Oct 5, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $20.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".