Insidious-Ecology
0xe92eeab07086a6b343f6397a9f8153dd99f9fb30
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?
1830 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 18?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 October 20-26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$94.19Jun 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$94.01Jun 7, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$94.09Jun 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$94.00Jun 4, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$94.09Jun 4, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$94.00May 31, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$94.09May 31, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$94.00May 28, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?$94.09May 28, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?$94.01May 24, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?$94.09May 24, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?$94.01May 19, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.99May 19, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$98.10May 19, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$98.00May 14, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$3.92May 14, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$101.99May 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$101.90May 12, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$101.89May 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$101.80May 8, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $63.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.