Deficient-Pumpkin
0xe92f28fcc56c6c37a507f28a69af9a0a356524da
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-499.19
Realised
$-25.96
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
7879 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-141.03
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?
2000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.89
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?
1300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.18
- YES
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
952 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?
699 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-68.88
- YES
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
593 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
545 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?
525 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in February?$11.30Feb 19, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in February?$0.35Feb 19, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$11.66Feb 19, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in February?$6.83Feb 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in February?$10.00Feb 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$16.82Feb 16, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in February?$7.52Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$7.36Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$42.84Feb 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$0.25Feb 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.39Feb 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.60 in February?$2.08Feb 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$8.12Feb 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.20 in February?$8.78Feb 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in February?$25.68Feb 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$18.19Feb 9, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?$46.75Feb 9, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high by March 31, 2026?$11.44Feb 9, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.