Paltry-Estimate
0xe939b53212d2ad9ed6c7838fd57b14c0530dd4d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$7.52
Total PnL
$-30.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
296 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.52
$-3.43
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
18783 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
14484 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4322 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2847 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2395 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2311 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.95Mar 16, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEM Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$11.00Mar 16, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$10.64Feb 2, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.01Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$2.11Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$212.00Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$163.24Jan 10, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?$1.00Jan 7, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$1.51Jan 7, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$2.01Jan 7, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$2.00Jan 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$2.00Dec 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$1.50Dec 8, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$50.00Nov 17, 06:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $772.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".