Optimal-Uncertainty
0xe93d243a1d7eb60685c3fc5433ededfbb9d6e226
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
9530 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-620.17
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 20?
3207 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-488.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 19?
1351 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?
1250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?
888 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will Trump win 6 swing states?
882 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
736 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?
584 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-373.68
- YES
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
486 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
417 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$53.00Oct 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $170 on October 20?$488.00Oct 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $180 on October 19?$500.00Oct 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?$71.00Jun 26, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$455.04Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$455.05Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$165.14Feb 2, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$175.00Dec 1, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMSolana all time high in Q4?$322.94Dec 1, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high in Q4?$22.20Nov 21, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$106.60Nov 21, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$1.1KNov 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 6, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$40.00Nov 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high in Q4?$35.00Oct 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high in Q4?$25.00Oct 14, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 6 swing states?$150.00Oct 14, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$300.00Oct 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$300.00Oct 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$125.00Oct 8, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $161.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".