Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$11.55

Total PnL

$-1.1K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 22

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026
$10.41
$0.42
NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
1 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$1.13
$0.13
NO
Will Poland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
30606 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-1.0K
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 14?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-9.91
UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
22 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-9.85
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026
$0.00
$-9.84

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$10.00Mar 5, 17:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$10.10Mar 5, 17:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$10.00Mar 5, 16:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$10.00Mar 5, 16:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.63Feb 27, 17:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 17:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.00Feb 27, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.00Feb 27, 15:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$16.29Feb 27, 15:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$10.83Feb 27, 15:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$11.59Feb 27, 15:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$10.00Feb 25, 16:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$25.69Feb 25, 16:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Feb 25, 16:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.00Feb 25, 16:33 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$12.73Feb 25, 16:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.00Feb 25, 16:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Feb 25, 16:29 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$115.86Feb 25, 16:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$100.00Feb 25, 16:23 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry41 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk75 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 35
Avg trade size: $37.47
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 15, 08:11 UTC
Last active: Mar 5, 17:32 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:33:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data