Insubstantial-Loyalty
0xe94e1e62380dfdde31e96af1e9721b6db896d4e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will XRP reach $3.00 November 3-9?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.10 November 3-9?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $114k November 3-9?
1990 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120k November 3-9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
123 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
8 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?
8 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?$7.36Jan 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Pacers$2.00Jan 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Kings$2.00Jan 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Kings$3.00Jan 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Pacers$3.00Jan 12, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Pistons$4.55Jan 11, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pistons$1.50Jan 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Cavaliers$3.00Jan 10, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Timberwolves$8.77Jan 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Timberwolves$5.00Jan 8, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$2.00Jan 8, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Pistons$1.33Jan 8, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Knicks$1.56Jan 8, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Hornets$1.75Jan 8, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Trail Blazers$3.23Jan 8, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$1.50Jan 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Trail Blazers$1.00Jan 7, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Knicks$1.00Jan 7, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Hornets$1.00Jan 7, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Pistons$1.00Jan 7, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.